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18 June, 2025 Financial Planning

Financial Planning - The Impact of Inflation


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Video Length: 7.5 minutes

In this video see how higher inflation can impact your financial plan both during your accumulation years and, more importantly, during your retirement years.

Toward the end of this video I share the below graph.

For this analysis I have calculated inflation for 1-year periods (year-over-year inflation) using the Consumer Price Index or CPI.  I separate the results into two groups: 1.) periods when inflation has been greater than or equal to 5.0% for the prior year (high inflation periods), and 2.) periods when inflation has been less than 5.0% for the prior year (lower inflation periods).  I then calculate the performance of the S&P 500, including dividends, for the NEXT 12-months.

This graph shows that, on average, when inflation has been greater than or equal to 5% for the prior year, the performance of the S&P 500 during the NEXT 12 months has been below average and visa versa.

Regarding financial planning, this would suggest that when considering the impact of higher inflation we may also need to factor in expectations of lower portfolio performance resulting in a double negative for retirement resources.

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